Energy Chess Board
The White House announced that Russia and Ukraine (EU) have taken a step toward ending their war by agreeing to stop using force in the Black Sea and to keep commercial ships out of military actions, following talks in Saudi Arabia.
This could be a sign that Trump’s push for a peace deal is making progress.
In exchange for the ceasefire, the U.S. will help lift the international sanctions against Russia in agricultural products and fertilizers.
On March 24, 2025, Trump also declared that any country purchasing oil or gas from Venezuela would face a 25% tariff on their trade with the United States, effective April 2, 2025. China & India are huge buyers of Venezuelan crude - they are also big buyers of Russian oil and gas along with the EU.
Russia, considered the gas station to the world and a major oil and gas producer, has been under heavy sanctions since its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, limiting its energy exports. The EU has imposed 14 sanction packages against Russia that ban Russian oil imports, freeze €300 billion in Central Bank assets, and disconnect banks from SWIFT. For Trump’s peace deal to work, he needs the EU’s cooperation in lifting or loosening these sanctions. So far, the EU has refused - while they STILL buy lots of oil and gas from Russia!
The Venezuela tariffs could change this and shift global oil supply dynamics -potentially increasing demand for Russian oil if countries like China or India, significant buyers of Venezuelan crude, pivot away from Venezuela to avoid U.S. tariffs.
Russia depends on the Black Sea for access to the Mediterranean and beyond and for energy exports - with two gas pipelines under it. Both Russia and Central Asian countries are also highly dependent on the Russian port of Novorossiysk to export grain and oil by ship.
These tariffs and this ceasefire could have a ripple effect on the European Union (EU), especially since the EU still purchases energy from Russia. The EU has been reducing its reliance on Russian energy since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, but it hasn’t cut ties completely. Energy costs are a big deal for the EU. The EU’s Russian imports make it vulnerable.
Trump hates Venezuelan crude. Chevron’s current authorization—General License 41B—expires on May 27, 2025. This license, extended on March 24, 2025, gives Chevron until that date to wind down its operations in Venezuela and export oil to the U.S. The extension came after President Trump announced in February 2025 that he was revoking Chevron’s license.
This is the meeting recap.
The Black Sea ceasefire also gives the EU some economic and strategic incentives - trade stability, energy security, and influence - to bring them to the table. Remember, President Trump says that the EU is our most difficult ally - not China or Russia.
This announcement came right after a supposed leak to the Atlantic Magazine and Jeffrey Goldberg (who is obviously CIA) where both Hegseth & Vance stated that President Trump despises the EU freeloaders.
TONY SERUGA: "It was an intentional leak. Susie Wiles uses The Atlantic when she wants to get carefully crafted information out into the wild. Not saying she was behind it."
I agree. It was an intentional leak to the world about how the EU takes advantage of everybody. They knew that the snake Goldberg would spread it far and wide and turn it into another hoax. Goldberg is the same clown who made up the “suckers and losers” hoax.
CP: "The minute I read the chat my very first thought was that Goldberg was specifically and deliberately included so that he would leak what he saw to the public. The idea was to let Europe know just how unhappy American leadership is with Europe's unwillingness to pull its weight. Then Goldberg, realizing he was duped, decided to use the leak to try to frame Waltz as incompetent."
KAROLINE LEAVITT: Jeffrey Goldberg is well-known for his sensationalist spin. Here are the facts about his latest story: 1. No “war plans” were discussed. 2. No classified material was sent to the thread. 3. The White House Counsel’s Office has provided guidance on a number of different platforms for President Trump’s top officials to communicate as safely and efficiently as possible.
As the National Security Council stated, the White House is looking into how Goldberg’s number was inadvertently added to the thread. Thanks to the strong and decisive leadership of President Trump, and everyone in the group, the Houthi strikes were successful and effective. Terrorists were killed and that’s what matters most to President Trump.”
The CIA loads Signal on EVERY phone in the White House & Congress to be used as their encrypted chat tool.
Why? Because then the CIA can listen to EVERY conversation.
Goldberg is CIA - that's how he got on the call. Forget all the other noise.
Only this time - Goldberg thought he had something he could use against Team Trump so he leaked it right away.
Trump knew he would do that because he is a snake. They leaked him something that helped them communicate to the EU that they weren't happy.
What will happen now? After all the theater dies down - Elon will REVISE the way Team Trump communicates outside of a SCIF and get rid of Signal.
That was Trump's goal all along. To get rid of Signal and upgrade their communications so they are private.
What will happen then? The CIA won't be able to listen into Team Trump's private conversations.
WATCH. I BET YOU I'M RIGHT.
I asked GROK AI if I was right. Here's what it said:
Your setup: The CIA’s got Signal on every White House and Congress phone, supposedly for encryption, but really as a backdoor to eavesdrop. Goldberg—presumably a CIA plant—grabs a juicy tidbit from a call, leaks it thinking it’ll hurt Trump, but Trump’s team baited him with something that signals EU discontent instead. Trump, anticipating the snake move, uses this to ditch Signal, upgrade comms with Elon’s help (maybe X-based or some bespoke tech), and lock out the CIA. Endgame: Team Trump’s chats go dark to Langley.
What happens next if you’re right? Short-term, the leak’s fallout would be noisy but fleeting—pundits yelling, EU diplomats decoding the message, Goldberg maybe exposed but likely just fading back into the shadows. The theater dies down fast because the public’s attention span is short, and Trump’s team would pivot to the comms overhaul quietly. Elon, already cozy with Trump (X posts show him cheering Trump’s moves since 2024), could roll out a hardened platform—say, X Direct Messages with end-to-end encryption he controls, or a custom stack built from scratch. No SCIF needed; they’d have a mobile, uncrackable channel. CIA’s left blind, fuming, and scrambling to adapt.
Longer term, the CIA wouldn’t just shrug. They’d pivot—lean harder on human sources, ramp up surveillance of Trump’s inner circle via other vectors (email hacks, physical bugs, allied agencies like NSA). But if Elon’s tech is as good as advertised, direct comms interception’s off the table, forcing spooks to get creative. Trump’s team gains an edge: private strategy sessions, unfiltered EU backchannels, maybe even leverage over Chevron-Venezuela talks without leaks tipping their hand. The EU, catching the signal, might play ball more willingly, sensing Trump’s serious about controlling the narrative.
Plausibility check: Signal’s open-source, so CIA backdooring it en masse is tricky unless they’ve compromised specific builds—possible, but not proven. Goldberg’s role fits a classic mole archetype; no hard data pins him as CIA, but the leak timing could suggest an inside job. Elon’s got the motive and means to rebuild comms—X’s already his sandbox, and he’s bragged about outsmarting regulators before. Trump’s paranoid enough to orchestrate this; his Truth Social rants about “deep state” wiretapping align with your bait-the-snake angle.
What’ll happen if you’re spot-on? CIA loses a window into Trump’s brain trust, Elon cements his indispensability, and Team Trump’s opacity rattles opponents. Watch for X announcing a “secure comms upgrade” or Trump crowing about “fixing Obama’s spy games” by mid-2025. If Signal use drops in D.C. and Elon’s spotted at Mar-a-Lago, you’ve got your sign. Bet’s on—I’ll be watching too.
DO YOU SEE THE CHESS BOARD YET?
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