Final predictions on Election 2024
This newsletter includes the final predictions (and reference charts) from a few trusted pundits and pollsters about the election and a reminder of what they did to us last time - so we don’t let it happen again. Please refer to this on election night as the results come in.
Remember, most of the pollsters and pundits are not in the business of telling us the truth until they have to. They are in the business of doing the bidding of whoever pays them the most and “course correcting” at the last minute so they can claim they were right all along.
I wrote and fielded research surveys in my marketing career and I know how easy it is to manipulate a poll result by using skewed questions or databases. They all do it. Even worse - today they can’t reach people like they used to with land lines so it’s a nightmare to even find people to poll.
In 1980, the pollsters said Reagan was going to lose big time to Carter until the last week.
YET, Reagan won 44 states, got 489 electoral votes and beat Carter by 10 points. Sorry, but that didn't just happen in the LAST WEEK. The economy and inflation under Carter was horrific and the American people had enough.
In 2016, the pollsters said from the beginning that Trump was going to lose to Hillary. After Trump won, the networks and the pundits agreed that the polls were mostly wrong! And, then they conspired with each other and the fake news and Big Tech to make sure that Republicans could never win again.
Trump won in 2016 despite what the pollsters said. Trump won 30 states with 304 electoral votes.
Then, of course, there’s 2020 where they used COVID to push cheat-by-mail - and even though Trump was STILL winning big on election night - they did all sorts of nefarious things to shut down the count and truck in millions more phony ballots.
They stole it right before our eyes.
The pollsters ALWAYS say that the Democrats are going to win - no matter what.
They do that to demoralize conservatives and stop them from voting. They do it so Democrats can pull a fast one and cheat at the end. Sometimes pollsters "course correct" at the last minute to save face. Sometimes not.
In Trump's case - Republicans do NOT answer polls for fear they will be targeted - so there is a HUGE silent vote for him. Even the left-wing pollsters admit that.
What does Wall Street say?
In order to take your attention off that reality - the left has been running psyops all week long to distract you and demean you. That’s in addition to fake polls.
All that stuff is fake.
They keep blaming Trump for chaos when they are the ones who cause the chaos.
DeNiro says you have to vote for Kamala because, even though she's made lots of mistakes, she's trying to do the right thing. Look at his face!
“She’s doing the right thing. And it’s that simple. Look, people make mistakes here and there, of course, but she’s going in the right direction.” 😂
WRONG. 79% of the country thinks we are going in the WRONG direction. He can't think of one policy decision she's made that's right! DeNiro must be on the Epstein or Diddy tapes.
Early voting data is in and it shows Republicans in a favorable position. We will win as long as we show up on election day and vote.
Women always vote earlier than men. MEN - you need to vote on election day for Trump!
So far, there are some 7 MILLION early votes for Democrats that didn’t happen in 2024 that did in 2020. Does that mean they aren’t real people? I’m guessing - YES.
Democrat data people say that urban voters and women aren’t showing up for Kamala.
Here are the #'s, according to Democrat Data Expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart:
ARIZONA COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -385,285, Female turnout is down -170,011
GEORGIA COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -153,846, Female turnout is down -46,732
MICHIGAN COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -321,523, Female turnout is down -204,856
NORTH CAROLINA COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -175,470, Female turnout is down -154,459
NEVADA COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -191,199, Female turnout is down -126,112
PENNSYLVANIA COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -381,519, Female turnout is down -450,802
WISCONSIN COMPARED TO 2020: Urban turnout is down -100,733, Female turnout is down -238,452
Seth Keshel is a data guy who combines together early voting data, registration data and polling to predict winners by swing state. He doesn’t spin.
Atlas Intel is considered the most accurate pollster:
Fabrizio and McLaughlin is Trump’s trusted pollster:
Decision Desk averages:
RealClear Polling:
Trafalgar:
Last minute polls yesterday. The only outlier was a fake poll in Iowa saying Kamala would win by 3. Turns out that poll was paid for by Chicago Democrats - home of Obama?
Another poll came out yesterday in Iowa that was more accurate.
Trump predicted the fake polls like the Iowa +3 one for Kamala.
This is a left-wing activist. Even his followers think she will lose.
Obama’s guy - David Axelrod - says turnout looks bleak for Kamala.
Elon is bullish on Trump:
ELON: Below are the R minus D early vote deltas in swing states before election day.
Republican turnout on election day is usually much higher than Democrat, so any state currently leaning Republican in early voting is very likely to side with Trump. Pennsylvania, while still leaning D, has a massive turnout on Election Day. If the same number vote in person for Trump this time vs last, he will win by ~500,000 votes (landslide).
TUCKER: Donald Trump’s campaign is reportedly “unusually confident” about the former president’s reelection chances, believing that “registration figures favor Republicans, based on mail-in voting, in the battleground states that will decide the race.”
Campaign insiders see positive trends in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina, where in-person voting, which tends to favor Trump, is outpacing generally pro-Harris mail-in ballots.
Harris surrogates are subsequently concerned about urban turnout for the vice president, reportedly expressing angst about Detroit, Atlanta, Philadelphia, and other overwhelmingly blue metropolitan hubs.
Sundance says she will lose and it will be because Gen Z is not voting for her.
Gen-Z are college-aged young adults 18-27. Thankfully, young people are waking up in America and seeing how they’ve been lied to by the fake news and the left.
Historic turnout and voting patterns for reference:
We all know that Trump won by a landslide in 2020 (probably by 12 million votes) but they stuffed the ballot boxes with 20 million fraudulent ballots for Biden and then the courts refused to hear the cases on “standing” while the GOP averted their eyes. Will we let them do it again? Or are we stronger and wiser than before?
Both Scavino and Vivek are confident in Trump’s win:
Yesterday - Trump mentioned Michelle Obama. Why? Because both Barack & Michelle are out there bashing Trump.
PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Obama is the big divider and troublemaker."
Yes he is! Obama is the snake behind all the division and chaos in America - yet he projects his hate onto others! Obama is the ultimate divider-in-chief!
The Bible tells us to AVOID smooth-talking charlatans, deceivers and snakes like Obama!
PRESIDENT TRUMP: "I took over the mess that Hussein Obama, who's a divider and troublemaker, made at the border. I've always treated his wife with respect, but she came at me the other day. Not nice. But she came at me the other day, and I think we’re gonna have a little fun with Michelle.”
Hmm. What did Michelle say? She said Trump is a “small man trying to make himself feel big by pouring gasoline” on people’s pain. Hmm. That sounds like Obama.
Michelle said that “if we keep exposing our children to hatred and ugliness, we risk eroding their sense of humanity, we risk breaking their spirits, we risk extinguishing their hope for the future." Hmm. That sounds like what Obama did to our country! Race relations plummeted under Obama. Even CNN says that! PROJECTION.
54% said relations between blacks and whites got worse when Obama became president, including 40% of black Americans! He pitted people against each other - on purpose!
Does Michelle look filled with love? I think not.
Does Obama look confident and hopey-changey?
Kamala is just another puppet of the CIA and the NWO - just like Obama. It’s time to take back America!
Last week, New York Communists invaded a home and killed a man’s pet squirrel. I think that one act woke up more Americans as to what the real threat of Communism, Fascism and Totalitarianism means than anything else that has happened in the past 8 years.
BUCK SEXTON: “I understand that New York State [Democrats] killing Peanut the squirrel involves the death of a rodent, and to some people that seems unimportant, but when you bond with an animal as a pet, there’s a sentimental and emotional connection that should be respected. That New York state would allow some bureaucrats under the umbrella of a “conservation” agency to take someone’s pet and kill it, just displays the vindictive sociopathy that is a defining feature of so many (Democrat-controlled) government agencies today.
None of this is an accident. The mentality of the Democrat-bureaucrat is much more similar to the statist-sadists described in Solzhenitsyn’s "Gulag Archipelago” than we want to believe. But just like then, they demand you submit to the whim of the machine, even when vicious, random, and unfair. That's because the underlying premise of the machine is that it cannot be wrong, by definition, and your “rights” are just in the way.
Solzhenitsyn described the frustration that Soviet officials would feel with the outrage of those innocents arrested- it didn't matter that the victim of the state had done nothing wrong, the machine was a system and anything slowing it down was friction, to be treated as waste. So it is with many of the statist-bureaucrats today.
They have low-show jobs, often of little or no productive value, so they wield whatever authority they have in a vindictive, mechanistic way. Now an employee of the state of New York pretending that a beloved pet, one that raised money for animal rescue, is a “rabies risk” is the worst kind of petty tyranny.
Everyone knew it was bull**it, but the state goons went along with it anyway. The govt, and public at large, had no real interest or benefit from the machine’s actions in this case, but its assembly line of pointless cruelty continued.
Yes, Peanut was just a squirrel, but a state agency that would confiscate *and kill* your harmless pet for no reason is also one that would lock you up for refusing to take an experimental vaccine - and in the name of “the system,” under certain circumstances, do things far more monstrous and cruel under the guise of necessary and right.”
PS: I just ordered the book GULAG ARCHIPELAGO about the horrors of the Bolshevik Labor Camps and mass murder in Lenin's & Stalin's Soviet Union. This is what the modern-day NWO wants to do to America.
OK - back to the election. Even Nate Silver - the most leftist pollster there is - predicts Trump will win.
Reminder - based on the way the electoral college works Trump will win even if he ties or loses the popular vote by less than 1-2%.
Democrats (Communist progressives) are already texting their constituents preparing to lose and they are calling in the National Guard in blue states to handle riots.
It’s not a joke that Kamala wants to confiscate our guns. She said so on video. Look it up.
Why are the Cheneys so in love with Kamala? Because she promised to install Liz in the Defense Department to lead America to war. Trump hates war and wants peace through strength. He doesn’t want to sacrifice your children on the altar of the MIC.
Even Nikki Haley joined Team Trump - kicking and screaming.
If this man can vote - so can we. PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE vote on Tuesday if you haven’t voted yet! Report anything you see that’s wrong. Then pray for our country.
I am joining Charlie Kirk in prayer and fasting today. I hope you do too. Godspeed.
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